Politics

Huckabee Has A Shot At Winning Iowa

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A new poll says he’s leading. And folks, he’s for real and the support he has is real too.

I’ve gathered this not only from the thigns I’ve read, but also from talking to family members who live in Iowa and are going to vote for him. This is grassroots, “we trust this guy” type of support. And given that the Republican caucuses aren’t nearly as goofy and complicated as their Democratic counterpart, Huck could win this one with little ground support.

From Rasmussen:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the Iowa caucus finds former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee with 28% of the vote, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 25% support, and everyone else far behind. National frontrunner Rudy Giuliani gets just 12% of the vote in Iowa at this time while former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson is the only other candidate in double digits at 11%. […]

Compared to our prior survey, the trend is unmistakable—Huckabee has gone up and just about everybody else has gone down. Huckabee’s 28% support represents a twelve point increase from a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted earlier in the month. Romney is down four points while Giuliani and Thompson are each down three points from the previous survey. John McCain is down two points and earns just 4% support. Ron Paul picked up a point and is now at the 5% level.

The reason? As if you even have to ask at this point…

Forty-eight percent (48%) of Evangelical Christians support Hucakbee. That’s more than all the other candidates combined. Romney attracts 16% of the Evangelical vote.

Biggest question: Will he really be able to win the nomination when fiscal conservatives aren’t particularly interested in being “compassionate conservatives” anymore?

I have my doubts…