Politics

Rasmussen: Obama Leads Texas, Pennsylvania Now Tight

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Remember, if Obama wins Texas, it’s all over. That’s been the Clinton campaign’s contention all along, and even Bill said if she didn’t win both Texas and Ohio, she wouldn’t get the nomination.

First we have Texas, where Obama is showing surprising strength:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Obama attracting 48% of the vote while Clinton earns 44%. Eight percent (8%) remain undecided and another 12% say it’s possible they could change their mind. That latter figure includes 3% who say there’s a good chance they could change their mind.

Obama leads by sixteen points among men, but trails by nine among women. Clinton’s lead among Hispanic voters is down to seven percentage points.

Note the highlighted passage above. Hillary’s lead among Hispanics is down to 7 percentage points. That’s big news, as this has been one of Hill’s reliable voting blocks. That trend could be turning around, but this is just one poll so take it for what it’s worth.

Onto Pennsylvania, where Hillary’s 21 point lead two weeks ago has been shaved down to 4 points:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Pennsylvania shows Hillary Clinton with a very narrow advantage over Barack Obama in the Democratic Presidential Primary. Clinton earns 46% of the vote while Obama earns 42%. Earlier polling by other firms had shown Clinton with a much larger lead in a state that was once considered favorable to her.

Clinton leads by fifteen points among women but trails by fourteen among men.

Combine all this with a tightening race in Ohio and you have major heartburn for the Clinton camp.