He’s running for VP

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Obama announces for President

That was what I said on a post more than a year ago, commenting on Obama’s February 10, 2007 announcement to run for President, and well before I started posting here at Donklephant. In light of all the speculation on a Democratic Dream Ticket here this morning, I thought I’d reprise a portion of that old post here:

“Apparently he is building his campaign on on a foundation of Baby Boomicide. One has to ask – why the generational focus? I submit, that this is a realistic political calculation by a young, self-assured, very smart, very ambitious politician, who understands that his path to the presidency requires a stepping stone as Vice-President. A key element in the selection of any Vice-Presidential candidate, is to identify what constituency they bring to a ticket. From a purely political perspective, it is interesting to ask – Exactly what constituency does Barack Obama bring to a Democratic ticket? It is not his home state. Illinois is already True Blue. It is not the black vote, Hillary Clinton outpolls Barack Obama among blacks. But if Barack can bring a generational constituency, if he can mobilize a demographic block that historically cannot even be bothered to vote, then Barack would be a formidable addition to any Democratic ticket. This is a campaign to capture that constituency and trade it for a spot on the ticket. Obama for Vice-President!

Since then, Obama has proven me wrong on several points, most significantly that he is very much running for President and close to being nominated. But on the larger point, I think this may yet prove to be prophetic. He may no longer be running for Vice-President, but I expect that is exactly how it will turn out.

Oh, and while we are on the subject of prognostications, let me just get this out of the way as painlessly as possible: I told you so, Justin.