AP Poll: Obama Leads In 8 Swing States
Good signs on the state level (.pdf), even if Obama’s numbers are slipping a bit nationally in the past couple days.
Colorado: Obama +9
Florida: Obama + 2
Nevada: Obama +12
New Hampshire: Obama +18
North Carolina: Obama +2
Ohio: Obama +7
Pennsylvania: Obama +12
Virginia: Obama + 7
My prediction? Any state where there’s a margin of 5 or less, he’ll lose. So that means Florida and North Carolina probably won’t turn out in Obama’s favor come election day. I really think undecideds will start to break 2 to 1 for McCain because they’re just nervous that Obama will tax the hell out of them.
And even though Obama leads by 7 in Ohio, I also have my doubts he’ll take it. I just don’t think there are enough early votes there to swing it.
But all the rest? Virginia, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Nevada and New Hampshire are Obama’s.
What do you think?