Mason/Dixon: Race Tight In Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Arizona
A bit of a surprise today, especially with the Pennsylvania and Minnesota numbers. Because I think this is one of the first polls I’ve seen that suggests those races are even close.
Pennsylvania: Obama +4
Minnesota: Obama + 8
Arizona: McCain +4
Frankly, I don’t buy the PA or MN numbers since they are the first to show a really tight race. Especially when you have roughly 10% undecideds in your sample at this point.
Still, Mason/Dixon is well respected, which is why I chose to share it all with you.
Prediction: Obama will take Pennsylvania and Minnesota. McCain will take Arizona.
You heard it here first!