Will Sotomayor Get Confirmed? Yes.

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Does anybody think Sonia Sotomayor isn’t going to get confirmed? Well, if you do, here are some reasons why you may want to rethink.

First, the rollout went off without a hitch. Even moderate Republicans lavished praise on her credentials, which are impressive and exactly what you’re looking for from a SCOTUS nominee. And there was Obama, smiling ear to ear, having just nominated the first Hispanic to the SCOTUS. Hello electoral jackpot.

Second, the right wing’s attacks are particularly poor this time around. Claiming that she could be a liberal judge is one thing, but claiming she’s a racist? Come on folks…

Third, well, she’s going to do the same song and dance that every other SCOTUS nominee does these days when they’re getting confirmed and not really answer any questions. And so she’ll sail through.

Fourth, Obama is trying to lure Republicans into a trap, and they know it. So they’ll let the fringe scream loudly, but the GOP isn’t going to fall on their sword and alienate an increasingly dwindling base by opposing the first Hispanic nominee to the court. Yes, it’s not fair, but it’s politics. This is a contact sport.

But hey, I’m willing to entertain some reasons why she won’t. However, make them plausible please. I don’t want to see the weak sauce.